Tuesday, February 12, 2019

Intelligence Collection and Analysis Essay -- Research

ameliorate the RelationshipThis paper get out detail how I would explain to my policymaker what the mental barriers argon for newsworthiness collection and analysis. Next, I will provide an air as to what types of rigors ar lacked to improve intelligence analysis qualification it much reliable. Finally, I will persuade the policymaker to back down my argument in order to receive more funding in order to appliance the type of improvements I have defined. Policymakers need to generalize that analysts face mental obstacles in four key stages of the analytical process, which be making judicial decisions, set up judgments, confronting organizational norms, and substantive judgments. (George and Bruce, 2008) When an analyst makes a judgment based on inconclusive evidence the probability that a surprise will fleet ontogenys. These judgments are made under some shyness that restricts the analyst from verify or even receiving further evidence to fall in or refut e the current judgment. (George and Bruce, 2008) When analysts coordinate judgments with other analysts and managers, other agendas and biases are introduced into the analysis. Analyst need to be informed of the organizations expectations of the analysis. meaty judgments occur when an analysts ethics force the analyst to give the sack the agendas of the policymakers and to be bring through judgments based on the evidence. (George and Bruce, 2008) All these psychological obstacles to honorable judgment are clouded by complexity, uncertainty, and secrecy. Cognitive biases are distortions in information touch on created by worldview, ideology, or political preference. (George and Bruce, 2008) The mindset of the analyst is the accumulated association of past behav... ...s. Policymakers need to allow additional time, increase analyst-staffing levels, and provide go direction to analysts so that judgments will become sounder. By developing meliorate communications betw een the analysts and the policymaker the judgments will be more useful. These improvements are ask to increase the quality and timeliness of judgments. Works CitedGeorge, Roger., Bruce, James. (Eds.). (2008) Analyzing science Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations. Washington, D.C. Georgetown University Press.Heuer, Richards. (1999). Psychology of news Analysis. Retrieved November 28, 2010 from http//www.dtic.mil/cgibin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA500078&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdfledzapp461. (2005, December 22). Orson well Paul Masson Commercial. Retrieved November 29, 2010. From http//www.youtube.com/ construe?v=bpj0t2ozPWY&feature=related Intelligence Collection and Analysis examine -- ResearchImproving the RelationshipThis paper will detail how I would explain to my policymaker what the psychological barriers are for intelligence collection and analysis. Next, I will provide an argument as to what types of rigors are needed to improve intelligence analysis making it more reliable. Finally, I will persuade the policymaker to support my argument in order to receive more funding in order to implement the type of improvements I have defined. Policymakers need to understand that analysts face psychological obstacles in four key stages of the analytical process, which are making judgments, coordinating judgments, confronting organizational norms, and substantive judgments. (George and Bruce, 2008) When an analyst makes a judgment based on inconclusive evidence the probability that a surprise will occur increases. These judgments are made under some constraint that restricts the analyst from verifying or even receiving further evidence to collaborate or disprove the current judgment. (George and Bruce, 2008) When analysts coordinate judgments with other analysts and managers, other agendas and biases are introduced into the analysis. Analyst need to be informed of the organizations expectations of the analysis. Substantive judgments occur when an analysts ethics force the analyst to ignore the agendas of the policymakers and to be write judgments based on the evidence. (George and Bruce, 2008) All these psychological obstacles to sound judgment are clouded by complexity, uncertainty, and secrecy. Cognitive biases are distortions in information processing created by worldview, ideology, or political preference. (George and Bruce, 2008) The mindset of the analyst is the accumulated knowledge of past behav... ...s. Policymakers need to allow additional time, increase analyst-staffing levels, and provide better direction to analysts so that judgments will become sounder. By developing improved communications between the analysts and the policymaker the judgments will be more useful. These improvements are needed to increase the quality and timeliness of judgments. Works CitedGeorge, Roger., Bruce, James. (Eds.). (2008) Analyzing Intelligence Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations. Washington, D.C. Georgetown University P ress.Heuer, Richards. (1999). Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Retrieved November 28, 2010 from http//www.dtic.mil/cgibin/GetTRDoc?AD=ADA500078&Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdfledzapp461. (2005, December 22). Orson Welles Paul Masson Commercial. Retrieved November 29, 2010. From http//www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpj0t2ozPWY&feature=related

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.